It's nearing a six-month mark since I've submitted my proposal, and I haven't heard anything from them. Does this mean that I'm probably not getting the grant? When do people expect to hear back? There seems to be almost no resources online in this, which I find to be surprising.
As others have said, there is variability, but here is an old internal document from NSF that sets the time at 6 months post submission:
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You can also make a good guess of when your panel met by:
- Looking up the PO for your proposal in FastLane
- Going to http://www.nsf.gov/events/advisory.jsp to find their name and associated panel dates. You may need to use the Wayback Machine to search an earlier version of this page as old panels are periodically pushed off
It occurs to me that an individual with a lot of submissions or an interested group could calculate some useful statistics on this. Just for fun I've created a Google Form for this. You can edit after submission and see summary charts, etc. It does not collect email addresses or limit to 1 response, so you can use it over and over.